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Red38
81816.7
656712.7
720615.5
Blue36
722413.6
296021.3
481012.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4343354045503836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#15
16.70.3
12.512.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End3.8
blue by 4.6
21.30.6
15.214.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Second
7206
#24
15.50.3
15.615.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 2.0
7224
#34
13.60.6
14.413.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
6567
#33
12.70.2
12.212.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 0.2
4810
#17
12.90.6
11.510.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed