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Red43
102529.8
481116.3
78549.0
Blue38
353918.9
170115.9
555513.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5448204060804338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
28.427.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End8.4
red by 11.0
18.91.1
17.316.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
4811
#11
16.30.8
13.512.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 0.4
1701
#10
15.90.7
12.011.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End3.2
Third
7854
#39
9.00.9
8.88.0
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End3.3
blue by 4.1
5555
#30
13.11.1
16.015.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed