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Red60
296021.3
116.8
440515.1
Blue44
477916.8
721119.5
776211.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49431020306070806044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.2
17.718.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End5.2
red by 1.8
7211
#18
19.50.2
15.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End4.8
Second
1
#20
16.81.2
14.015.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End4.8
Level
4779
#28
16.80.3
14.414.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Third
4405
#14
15.10.9
14.515.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.7
End3.4
red by 3.3
7762
#29
11.80.3
10.610.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed