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Red48
30969.0
481012.9
481116.3
Blue45
46912.3
477916.8
523911.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38400102030506070804845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4811
#11
16.30.7
15.215.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
4779
#28
16.80.3
16.216.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.8
End3.7
Second
4810
#17
12.90.8
12.212.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End3.0
red by 0.6
469
#22
12.30.3
10.911.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Third
3096
#38
9.00.7
8.49.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 1.9
5239
#21
11.00.3
10.611.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed