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Red80
296025.4
438120.3
247423.7
Blue82
456822.3
91035.5
171832.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739860801208082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#14
25.40.1
25.926.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End8.1
blue by 10.0
910
#2
35.50.7
37.536.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Second
2474
#33
23.70.1
23.823.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End6.0
blue by 8.8
32.50.7
31.430.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End6.7
Third
4381
#36
20.30.1
19.119.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End6.1
blue by 2.0
4568
#20
22.30.7
23.723.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed72%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsMissed