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Red65
57325.6
118922.1
590116.7
Blue80
567630.4
721121.1
556724.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6477401001206580

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#17
25.60.3
23.423.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End8.3
blue by 4.9
5676
#11
30.40.5
29.329.8
Auto4.5
Teleop21.0
End5.0
Second
1189
#31
22.10.3
20.420.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End3.2
blue by 2.6
5567
#13
24.60.5
24.324.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End7.8
Third
5901
#39
16.70.3
16.516.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 4.4
7211
#25
21.10.5
19.419.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned