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Red71
118922.1
456822.3
567630.4
Blue95
205432.8
360221.0
148128.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8183506070901001101207195

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#11
30.40.4
30.530.1
Auto4.5
Teleop21.0
End5.0
blue by 2.4
2054
#10
32.81.1
31.632.7
Auto5.2
Teleop19.2
End8.5
Second
4568
#20
22.30.4
23.222.8
Auto3.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
blue by 6.6
28.91.1
27.028.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End7.2
Third
1189
#31
22.10.4
23.423.0
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 1.0
3602
#40
21.01.1
20.321.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
23%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed98%HAB Docking oddsEarned