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Red81
21728.0
590116.7
6731.2
Blue73
148128.9
634421.1
602024.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817640601001208173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
31.20.3
30.630.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End6.5
red by 2.4
28.90.1
28.127.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.3
End7.2
Second
217
#12
28.00.3
29.830.1
Auto4.3
Teleop16.7
End7.0
red by 4.0
6020
#30
24.00.1
23.323.1
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End6.7
Third
5901
#39
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End3.1
blue by 4.4
6344
#38
21.10.1
20.920.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
37%Rocket oddsEarned13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned