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Red64
204820.8
400425.2
567630.4
Blue70
776917.2
780916.2
335727.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776740601006470

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5676
#11
30.40.6
29.528.9
Auto4.5
Teleop21.0
End5.0
red by 3.2
27.20.4
28.028.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Second
4004
#22
25.20.6
22.722.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.0
End3.7
red by 7.9
7769
#35
17.20.4
20.621.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End5.2
Third
2048
#28
20.80.6
20.519.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End5.1
red by 4.7
7809
#29
16.20.4
14.715.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned57%HAB Docking oddsEarned