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Red100
30229.5
261130.7
508425.6
Blue101
656933.3
102529.9
317521.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908650607080100110120100101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.3
30.430.8
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End8.1
blue by 2.5
6569
#12
33.30.4
32.432.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.9
End8.9
Second
302
#16
29.50.3
29.129.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End7.1
blue by 0.5
29.90.4
29.029.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.8
End7.6
Third
5084
#14
25.60.3
25.225.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End7.4
red by 4.4
3175
#18
21.10.4
20.220.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End3.0