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Red89
341427.6
30229.5
485526.4
Blue70
765816.4
592625.3
778220.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826840601001208970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
29.50.8
27.628.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End7.1
red by 4.1
5926
#30
25.30.4
24.625.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End8.5
Second
27.60.8
24.825.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 7.4
7782
#31
20.20.4
23.624.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End7.3
Third
4855
#22
26.40.8
25.226.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End7.9
red by 9.9
7658
#36
16.40.4
15.716.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned