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Red45
118825.7
778220.2
102529.9
Blue81
612126.3
283424.4
317521.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837040601001204581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.4
29.727.3
Auto4.5
Teleop17.8
End7.6
red by 3.6
6121
#25
26.30.6
24.024.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End6.2
Second
1188
#15
25.72.4
24.922.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.0
End5.2
red by 1.3
2834
#13
24.40.6
24.224.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
7782
#31
20.22.4
23.721.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End7.3
blue by 0.9
3175
#18
21.10.6
17.918.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned