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Red71
30229.5
345817.4
523423.5
Blue94
495626.5
516627.2
233727.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72884060801001207194

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
29.50.0
29.229.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End7.1
red by 1.9
27.50.5
32.332.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.4
End5.9
Second
5234
#33
23.50.0
22.021.9
Auto4.5
Teleop15.4
End3.7
blue by 3.7
5166
#20
27.20.5
27.528.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.8
End7.9
Third
3458
#39
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.4
blue by 9.1
4956
#17
26.50.5
23.624.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned