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Red73
368826.0
496727.4
515013.5
Blue93
495626.5
505036.7
283424.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708930405060801001107393

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
25.626.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End6.4
blue by 9.2
36.70.6
35.235.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.2
End8.7
Second
3688
#21
26.00.4
28.228.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End5.7
blue by 0.5
4956
#17
26.50.6
24.825.4
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Third
5150
#34
13.50.4
12.613.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 10.9
2834
#13
24.40.6
24.725.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned