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Red91
370733.9
191834.4
567527.1
Blue85
586024.2
543627.5
400325.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10481601209185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.2
35.435.1
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End7.7
red by 7.0
5436
#11
27.50.2
27.327.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End6.5
Second
33.90.2
34.834.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End7.9
red by 8.6
4003
#26
25.30.2
25.225.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.7
End7.3
Third
5675
#28
27.10.2
28.027.8
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End4.3
red by 2.9
5860
#13
24.20.2
24.024.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End8.1