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Red65
715418.6
557718.7
675325.3
Blue84
366731.7
440922.8
376721.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617720401006584

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#38
25.30.5
22.022.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End7.9
blue by 6.4
31.70.8
28.128.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End9.2
Second
5577
#40
18.70.5
16.917.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.1
4409
#33
22.80.8
22.523.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
7154
#30
18.60.5
19.019.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End3.3
blue by 3.2
3767
#12
21.80.8
22.122.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned