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Red52
557718.7
364131.0
508620.2
Blue83
191834.4
586024.2
782314.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7374506080901005283

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.1
32.831.7
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End7.4
blue by 3.4
34.40.8
35.035.9
Auto5.0
Teleop21.7
End7.7
Second
5086
#25
20.21.1
18.417.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End5.5
blue by 4.0
5860
#13
24.20.8
21.322.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Third
5577
#40
18.71.1
17.716.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 4.6
7823
#24
14.10.8
13.914.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed14%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned