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Red67
353626.1
515220.5
439127.4
Blue93
436230.6
366731.7
715418.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828270758085906793

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#29
27.41.4
29.328.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 4.3
31.71.0
30.131.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.1
End9.2
Second
3536
#18
26.11.4
27.225.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.3
End4.7
blue by 4.5
30.61.0
27.028.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End5.2
Third
5152
#39
20.51.4
21.119.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End6.0
red by 1.9
7154
#30
18.61.0
20.421.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsMissed91%HAB Docking oddsEarned