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Red82
716028.6
261923.6
600220.7
Blue78
421623.6
439127.4
508620.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787440601001208278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.6
27.227.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.1
End7.1
red by 1.2
4391
#29
27.40.5
28.028.5
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End5.7
Second
23.60.6
25.926.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Level
4216
#31
23.60.5
24.124.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End6.5
Third
6002
#23
20.70.6
20.521.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 0.5
5086
#25
20.20.5
17.918.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsEarned