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Red80
360430.3
440922.8
436230.6
Blue78
345228.5
213724.8
715418.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827940601001208078

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
28.929.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End5.2
red by 2.2
3452
#20
28.50.2
29.129.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End6.7
Second
3604
#15
30.30.2
25.825.9
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End6.2
red by 5.5
2137
#37
24.80.2
24.624.8
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End6.1
Third
4409
#33
22.80.2
22.823.0
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
red by 4.2
7154
#30
18.60.2
20.921.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned