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Red64
364131.0
49428.5
782314.1
Blue52
353426.3
440922.8
439224.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777550607080901006452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.6
32.532.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.9
End7.4
red by 4.7
3534
#16
26.31.3
24.122.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Second
494
#10
28.50.6
27.126.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
red by 4.3
4392
#22
24.31.3
23.722.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End3.6
Third
7823
#24
14.10.6
12.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End2.3
blue by 8.7
4409
#33
22.81.3
23.622.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed