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Red98
277125.0
24529.8
132221.9
Blue55
365525.8
477627.4
521627.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778440601001209855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#6
29.80.6
28.128.7
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End6.4
red by 2.3
5216
#21
27.50.6
27.326.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Second
2771
#20
25.00.6
23.323.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End6.0
blue by 2.4
27.40.6
27.226.6
Auto5.0
Teleop18.9
End3.5
Third
1322
#30
21.90.6
21.121.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End4.5
blue by 3.8
25.80.6
25.525.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End7.0