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Red76
6817.4
520528.7
556126.9
Blue78
107622.1
12318.2
608722.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80672040601001207678

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#17
28.70.0
29.529.5
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End7.6
red by 6.0
6087
#22
22.71.0
22.022.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End8.0
Second
5561
#19
26.90.0
27.227.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.7
red by 4.8
1076
#13
22.11.0
20.921.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.5
Third
68
#40
17.40.0
18.818.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End5.2
blue by 0.8
123
#34
18.21.0
20.821.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned69%HAB Docking oddsEarned