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Red99
353838.0
477627.4
365525.8
Blue64
607923.6
277125.0
521627.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977840601209964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.5
37.638.1
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End7.4
red by 10.4
5216
#21
27.50.7
28.327.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Second
27.40.5
28.028.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.9
End3.5
red by 2.4
2771
#20
25.00.7
24.123.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Third
25.80.5
26.026.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.0
End7.0
red by 2.2
6079
#25
23.60.7
21.821.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
40%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned