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Red99
207527.8
285135.6
50326.2
Blue45
473717.9
365627.8
608722.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987740601209945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.4
29.730.2
Auto5.4
Teleop23.7
End6.5
red by 7.8
3656
#14
27.82.5
31.128.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.7
Second
27.80.4
34.434.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 5.1
6087
#22
22.72.5
22.920.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End8.0
Third
503
#11
26.20.4
28.328.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 8.4
4737
#27
17.92.5
18.816.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
71%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsMissed