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Red99
553027.7
31421.4
285135.6
Blue49
6817.4
107622.1
277125.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87694060801001209949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.9
32.133.0
Auto5.4
Teleop23.7
End6.5
red by 10.6
2771
#20
25.01.1
24.323.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Second
5530
#16
27.70.9
28.529.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End6.8
red by 5.5
1076
#13
22.11.1
22.521.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.5
Third
314
#29
21.40.9
21.622.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.9
red by 3.9
68
#40
17.41.1
18.917.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsEarned8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
76%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned