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Red80
521627.5
608722.7
546039.7
Blue68
564126.5
607923.6
477627.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927940601001201408068

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.5
39.539.0
Auto5.3
Teleop27.8
End6.6
red by 12.3
27.40.5
27.527.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.9
End3.5
Second
5216
#21
27.50.5
26.526.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
red by 1.0
5641
#18
26.50.5
24.624.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End9.8
Third
6087
#22
22.70.5
20.820.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.3
End8.0
blue by 0.9
6079
#25
23.60.5
22.722.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
34%Rocket oddsEarned12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned