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Red94
31421.4
497023.3
477627.4
Blue57
686123.4
12318.2
50326.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767755606570808590959457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
27.126.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.9
End3.5
red by 1.2
503
#11
26.21.0
27.726.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Second
4970
#12
23.30.4
22.021.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End6.4
blue by 0.1
6861
#23
23.41.0
24.123.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End5.7
Third
314
#29
21.40.4
22.722.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.9
red by 3.2
123
#34
18.21.0
20.719.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed89%HAB Docking oddsEarned