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Red75
473717.9
5127.9
765621.6
Blue88
8524.3
556126.9
277125.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697740601001207588

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#15
27.90.4
28.028.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.5
End7.8
red by 1.0
5561
#19
26.91.0
25.626.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Second
7656
#28
21.60.4
21.121.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.2
blue by 3.4
2771
#20
25.01.0
22.823.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Third
4737
#27
17.90.4
16.416.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
blue by 6.4
85
#10
24.31.0
24.325.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned