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Red82
521627.5
686123.4
749124.1
Blue95
546039.7
473717.9
520528.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779140601001208295

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#21
27.50.6
26.727.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End7.9
blue by 12.2
39.70.6
39.840.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.8
End6.6
Second
7491
#31
24.10.6
23.524.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 4.6
5205
#17
28.70.6
29.029.6
Auto5.6
Teleop15.4
End7.6
Third
6861
#23
23.40.6
22.823.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End5.7
red by 5.5
4737
#27
17.90.6
17.317.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed48%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned