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Red30
661616.7
483812.5
476820.1
Blue53
222411.4
439014.3
468028.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36421020305060703053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.4
12.011.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
blue by 8.1
28.20.9
20.921.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
Second
6616
#13
16.70.2
12.011.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
4390
#23
14.31.5
8.19.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Third
4838
#11
12.50.2
9.79.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
red by 1.1
2224
#31
11.40.9
10.511.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned