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Red40
52177.9
364129.2
71437.5
Blue42
78658.6
553211.4
485413.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4028010205060704042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.1
22.622.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 15.6
13.60.1
9.09.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Second
5217
#34
7.90.2
7.67.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End1.9
blue by 3.5
5532
#25
11.40.1
8.68.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Third
7143
#35
7.50.1
8.08.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 1.1
7865
#32
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed