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Red34
653212.2
546716.0
68629.6
Blue59
557716.1
549818.0
575614.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33421020305060703459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#16
16.00.5
12.211.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 2.1
5498
#27
18.00.1
18.818.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End3.8
Second
6532
#29
12.20.8
9.18.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 3.9
5577
#10
16.10.1
10.09.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
6862
#38
9.60.8
10.19.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 5.3
5756
#20
14.90.1
11.211.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed