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Red81
50658.3
485110.5
661616.7
Blue21
778913.0
776916.2
68629.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232405060708121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6616
#13
16.70.2
11.711.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End3.7
red by 0.5
16.21.0
10.19.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Second
4851
#18
10.50.2
8.78.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End2.3
blue by 2.5
7789
#28
13.00.6
10.910.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Third
5065
#17
8.30.3
9.59.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End2.2
blue by 1.3
6862
#38
9.61.0
9.38.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed