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Red34
653212.2
719111.8
81516.1
Blue17
222411.4
716812.7
485413.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280102040503417

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#15
16.10.3
11.511.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End3.8
red by 2.5
13.60.6
9.08.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Second
6532
#29
12.20.5
8.38.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 0.6
7168
#21
12.71.1
6.15.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Third
7191
#26
11.80.3
9.910.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.6
End3.5
red by 0.4
2224
#31
11.40.6
11.410.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed