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Red72
78658.6
468028.2
81516.1
Blue21
36323.4
719619.5
267610.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4636102030405060707221

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.7
23.024.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
red by 8.7
7196
#19
19.50.9
17.316.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Second
815
#15
16.11.7
11.813.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End3.8
red by 5.6
2676
#30
10.61.5
11.510.1
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End3.3
Third
7865
#32
8.61.7
8.910.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.5
red by 5.2
3632
#39
3.41.5
5.54.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed