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Red46
439014.3
575614.9
661616.7
Blue55
476820.1
22620.9
719619.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364820304060704655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6616
#13
16.70.8
11.912.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 4.2
226
#3
20.91.1
16.918.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End5.3
Second
5756
#20
14.90.8
12.313.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 5.2
20.11.1
11.612.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
Third
4390
#23
14.31.3
10.411.6
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
blue by 5.2
7196
#19
19.50.7
16.417.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed