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Red59
468028.2
267610.6
519711.5
Blue14
485413.6
71437.5
475810.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472801020405060705914

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
24.625.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
red by 14.6
13.60.8
8.57.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Second
5197
#24
11.51.0
9.610.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End2.5
red by 1.2
4758
#37
10.31.4
9.78.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
2676
#30
10.61.6
10.111.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End3.3
red by 3.1
7143
#35
7.50.8
8.07.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed