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Red49
719111.8
476820.1
557716.1
Blue42
68629.6
485413.6
439014.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372810203040504942

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.6
12.814.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End3.8
red by 5.8
4390
#23
14.31.8
11.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.0
Second
5577
#10
16.11.6
11.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.4
red by 2.5
13.61.1
7.78.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Third
7191
#26
11.81.0
10.911.8
Auto5.7
Teleop2.6
End3.5
red by 2.2
6862
#38
9.61.8
6.98.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed