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Red27
71437.5
575614.9
553211.4
Blue31
485110.5
222411.4
483812.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3430102040502731

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#20
14.90.5
13.512.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
red by 2.4
4838
#11
12.50.2
10.110.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Second
5532
#25
11.40.5
11.010.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Level
2224
#31
11.40.2
9.810.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Third
7143
#35
7.50.5
7.46.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 3.0
4851
#18
10.50.2
8.58.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed3%HAB Docking oddsMissed