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Red46
267313.7
222411.4
590119.4
Blue59
68629.6
485110.5
364129.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145203050604659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.5
18.218.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 9.8
29.20.9
24.625.5
Auto3.8
Teleop17.7
End7.8
Second
13.70.5
10.310.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 3.2
4851
#18
10.50.9
8.79.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End2.3
Third
2224
#31
11.40.5
10.010.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End2.1
red by 1.8
6862
#38
9.61.3
9.010.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned