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Red42
22620.9
71437.5
483812.5
Blue44
259115.8
267313.7
50658.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393510203050604244

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
20.90.4
19.920.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End5.3
red by 5.0
2591
#14
15.80.7
13.714.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Second
4838
#11
12.50.4
10.811.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 1.2
13.70.5
11.512.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
7143
#35
7.50.4
5.96.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End2.9
blue by 0.8
5065
#17
8.30.7
7.68.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed