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Red57
68629.6
716812.7
468028.2
Blue54
22620.9
475810.3
557716.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50482030406070805754

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.6
26.727.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
red by 7.3
226
#3
20.90.4
20.320.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End5.3
Second
7168
#21
12.70.7
11.912.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End3.3
blue by 3.4
5577
#10
16.10.4
15.415.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
6862
#38
9.60.7
8.99.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End2.7
blue by 0.8
4758
#37
10.30.4
10.010.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed