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Red51
468028.2
483812.5
553211.4
Blue14
716812.7
557716.1
653212.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383610203050605114

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.0
19.920.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End10.1
red by 12.1
5577
#10
16.12.2
12.310.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Second
4838
#11
12.51.0
8.79.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 0.2
7168
#21
12.72.2
10.48.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End3.3
Third
5532
#25
11.41.0
7.68.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.8
blue by 0.8
6532
#29
12.22.2
11.39.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed