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Red49
448219.2
438211.0
496723.9
Blue60
522214.3
233731.9
506920.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59572040801004960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.5
24.624.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End7.0
blue by 7.9
31.90.4
27.728.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Second
4482
#24
19.20.5
21.621.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
blue by 0.9
20.10.5
14.715.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Third
4382
#40
11.00.5
10.09.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.2
blue by 3.3
5222
#14
14.30.4
11.511.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned