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Red39
85816.1
323411.1
547313.6
Blue46
765814.9
517318.0
438211.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424020305060703946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#19
16.10.0
13.813.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.5
blue by 1.9
5173
#16
18.00.3
14.814.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.6
Second
5473
#33
13.60.0
12.812.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.4
blue by 1.3
7658
#22
14.90.3
13.813.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Third
3234
#35
11.10.0
12.812.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Level
4382
#40
11.00.3
9.59.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed