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Red48
499813.5
600221.6
448219.2
Blue61
85816.1
610019.9
496119.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535530405060704861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#13
21.60.2
16.716.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End7.2
red by 1.7
19.90.6
16.617.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End9.1
Second
4482
#24
19.20.2
21.821.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
blue by 0.2
4961
#15
19.40.6
21.021.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End3.9
Third
4998
#23
13.50.2
11.811.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End4.1
blue by 2.6
858
#19
16.10.6
14.715.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned