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Red71
85816.1
91032.5
72109.4
Blue47
781013.1
357018.7
261921.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5455204060801007147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
32.51.3
27.528.8
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End7.7
red by 11.1
2619
#18
21.40.3
24.023.7
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End3.4
Second
858
#19
16.11.3
13.815.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.5
blue by 2.6
3570
#20
18.70.3
14.213.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End6.2
Third
7210
#32
9.41.3
10.011.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End3.5
blue by 3.7
7810
#34
13.10.3
13.613.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsEarned