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Red46
760214.2
448219.2
72109.4
Blue33
547313.6
77727.8
780914.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493910203060704633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#24
19.20.4
22.021.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End4.9
red by 4.6
7809
#30
14.70.3
16.215.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End2.0
Second
7602
#26
14.20.4
13.513.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
red by 0.6
5473
#33
13.60.3
14.113.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End2.4
Third
7210
#32
9.40.4
10.910.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End3.5
red by 1.6
7772
#31
7.80.3
7.16.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed