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Red50
522214.3
613813.9
85816.1
Blue76
335726.4
233731.9
323411.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4569203040506080901005076

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#19
16.10.5
15.516.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End4.5
blue by 15.8
31.90.7
29.730.4
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Second
5222
#14
14.30.5
14.414.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End3.1
blue by 12.1
26.40.7
24.024.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.0
End4.3
Third
6138
#36
13.90.5
12.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.8
End5.1
red by 2.9
3234
#35
11.10.7
12.112.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned